An Overarching Cognitive Principle 423:

                             Every Thought has a Form & every Form turns

                             into a Crystal! This is how People Ripe in their

                             life-time & Project themselves into the FUTURE!

@viktorhadjiev, twitter, 15 March, 2023 at 10:23 am.

Written on 13 MARCH, 2026 at 14:22 pm. by Viktor HADJIEV, 'the Magnificent'

        Fury Lions is a dead-end military operation. The US-Israeli war against Iran may exhibit a FURRY or Hairy Lion but cannot be defined as Fury nor promising for Success! Israel has fought eight recognized military operations since its establishment in 1948. The microcosm of these wars helps define the meaning of strategic success in military operation in the Middle East. The first Israeli war was the war for Independence. It lasted six months between 1948-1949. This war was a success as it helped establish & define Islraeli boarders; thus, enhancing security and paving the path to Socio-economic prosperity of Israel.

      The second recognized war in the region was the Palestinian Fedayeen Raids between 1950-1960's. Eventhough these Raids have costed a lot of enemy lives it cannot be determined as a successful conflict in the region as all Israeli enemies continued their incursions and military operations up to one of the last wars that has not ended yet - the war in 2023 against Palestine's Hamas. Some may argue that the Fadayeen Raids war was somewhat successful as these Raids helped Israel expand their military influence in the Region. The reason I qualify this conflict as unsuccessful is because it has not changed polities in neighbouring countries which lead to more of the same conflict Types in the future.

        The Suez crisis in 1956 was also not a success as Egypt did NATIONALISE the Suez CANAL; whereas, the six days war in 1967 was somewhat successful because it helped significantly expand Israeli's boarders in the region. However, the six days war did not provide for a Regime change in Syria, Egypt, Jordan, West Bank-Gaza & East Jerusalem, which lead to another war in 1973 - the Yom Kippur war between Israel and Egypt-Syria, as a result of which Israeli suffered heavy casualties; thus, lack of regime change in Egypt and Syria as well as failure to observe the following diplomatic peace negotiations by all parties can simply qualify these two and all subsequent wars as unsuccessful.

         In particular, I want to note that the lack of success in all Lebanon wars (1982, 2006) against Lebanon's Hezbollah and the two intifadas (1987-1993, 2000-2005) against Palestinian’s uprisings in West Bank and Gaza most starkly exhibited the fact that no sensible Regime changes were accomplished in Lebanon & Palestine, which have caused the conflicts between Israel and Palestine as well as between Israel & Hezbollah in LEBANON to continue in the future and up to this day. The failure was found in the fact that a lack of Regime alternatives in Palestine and Lebanon helped Israeli enemies to replenish their ranks, military arsenal and renew the Conflicts in 2008.

        The lack of success in all war efforts against Palestine and Lebanon helped expand support for Israel's enemies by regional Powers like Iran, Turkiye & Gulf states as well as EU in recent years not so much in direct support of Hamas and Hezbollah but in a clear Demand for Peace in the Region in effort to foster trade & good neighbourly relations as a catalyst for Socio-economic growth and prosperity. The failure of Israel and USA, in all wars this far, to induce Regime change in Lebanon and Palestine has not only continued all territorial incursions and terrorism in the region but also have raised legitimate concerns about HUMANITY - Human rights, DIGNITY and prosperity - by all Regional powers, incl. TURKIYE, Pakistan & the European Union.

         Israel hardly fought any war - successful or not successful war, in the Middle East longer than 10 to 180 days, except against Hamas which started in 2023 and has not finished yet. Embarking on another decade long war with Iran is going to bankrupt both USA & Israel in particular as the multiplier of failure has helped all regional powers, Iran in particular, to boost their military forces and consolidate their regimes into a Regional or even Global Socio-Economic BLOC like BRICS & smaller regional partnerships among Gulf states, Türkiye and Pakistan in support for Palestine's autonomous Existence. All these adverse Regional and Global partnerships have exhibited a clear preference for peaceful & diplomatic resolution of all Conflicts, incl. the war with Iran.

        At present, the small Country of Israel is fighting a war not only with Iran but also wars against Hezbollah in Lebanon & holding military operations in Syria & Somali-land against TURKIYE's strategic partnerships in the region. Once Türkiye gets involved in this conflict against Israel the small country will be forced out of EXISTANCE & Israel will have no choice but to employ nuclear weapons against other countries in the region, where Pakistan will retaliate. The war against Iran also appears as ill conceived & leading to another failure in both a regime change in Iran & in a failing Israeli economy as a result of a long war. In particular, these failures exhibit similarities to the previous wars in the 1980's fought against Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas, PLO in Palestine.

         As I have stated on many occasions, there has got to be clear criteria of accomplishment in any Conflict - armed or not. My best way to make an argument for or against any war starts with analysing structural and non-structural variables. Structural variables are those that change the Socio-economic path, allow for certain economic benefits and reduce death toll; whereas, non-structural are all replenishable costs in any Conflict. Obviously, in the war against Iran non-structural variable are ballistic missiles as these depots can be easily destroyed during war and replenished during Peace time (these are also being replenished during war-times in Iran by North Korea, China & Russia).

          Military equipment is also a non-structural asset or variable as all weapons and equipment can be bought and delivered overnight from Russia and China in this war case. Structural accomplishments in this war is a nuclear weapons ban in Iran as this will allow for more trade & oil exports (economic benefits) and healthier regional trade relationships between Iran and all neighbouring Muslim-Arab states or the whole World. The most important structural variable is a regime change in Iran. A regime change changes the whole pattern of Socio-economic Functioning & rebuilds the system from inside out. Obviously, a regime change is not going to be considered unless Iran is occupied (impossible task on the ground) or unless strong opposition springs a desire for such change in Governance in Iran. For this to happen internally, it requires ethnic consolidation as ethnic groups are the most exploited segment by Dictatorships. Ethnicity requires organised forms of cooperation known as Political Unions or parties that can slowly but gradually build a momentum.

           The only Political minority that can accomplish a regime change is the Azeri minority along with Balochi and Afghani groups. Needless to say Iran is often called the bigger Azerbaijan as more ethnic Azeri live in Iran than in Azerbaijan; thus, the best way to promote a regime change is to foster Political representation of ethnic groups in direct competition with the established status quo or what people love to call Political ALTERNATIVE. Here is also important to note that Israel & U.S.A. are losing in the assessment of the death toll variable (also structural), where Iran enjoys personnel superiority and quick replenishment with reservists and warriors from neighbouring countries like Pashtuns, Taliban & or Afghans.

         Given the Domestic capacities and opportunities, it may well turn out that Iran not only has the upper hand in this conflict but also a significant advantage in term of a bearable and expandable human cost in comparison to Israel and USA. The reason USA withdrew from Afghanistan was that Taliban forces were constantly renewed and upgraded with Pashtun warriors and strongly supported by ethnic groups in Pakistan and even Iranian minorities abroad at this point in time. It is expected a wider military support for Iranian independence to nurture from regional forces in Afghanistan and Pakistan (regardless of their ethnic differences or disputes). What combines these forces is regional and religious autonomy! U.S.A. is getting into a conflict they cannot and will not be able to finish nor win with conventional weapons; thus, a nuclear weapon may be used so that the US President does not fail in his endeavours.

         In conclusion, the war against Iran tends to consolodate support for the Iranian regime rather than to induce a regime change as people in Iran are more united and stand together against foreign aggressors, especially U.S. -Israel partnership; thus, the war has a negative overall Structural IMPACT & appears on the wrong path to Socio-economic & regime changes in Iran. The Israeli history of war has shown that lack of regime changes and short-lived Victories against replenishable variables can not be defined as a Successful outcome. In reality, in order to determine military success, I do not count all flies in the air nor mosquitoe bites that have scratched the SURFACE. EVERYTHING REPLENISHABLE IS NOT CONSIDERED CORE nor Strategic SUCCESS.

          A REGIME change in Iran is Impossible from the Air & by a long-term land operation; thus Epic Fury will be remembered as an EPIC FAILURE for U.S. President TRUMP, where the FURRY or Hairy Lion will lose Socio-economic leadership & Military confidence in this conflict. As a result, this war against Iran will set the stage for China’s Global leadership. If USA-Israel were to disrupt China & Iran, they are better off winning a NATO war against Russia first and negotiate a diplomatic non-proliferation nuclear treaty second, where the Iranian nuclear weapons program will meet a nuclear weapon use against Iran or where Iran will become a nuclear target unless it abides by all Global non-PROLIFERATION Treaties on Nuclear weapons.

         In view of the above, USA & Israel act as Lampens detached from Global Order & National support for the war in Iran. Both states are not prepared to take responsibility for disrupting the whole region and the Global economy INVAINE. People who are not inclined to follow international Law are not accepted well in all parts of the World. In this particular case, the U.S.-Israeli military operation can accomplish nothing more than what a Savvy diplomatic process can accomplish. This makes Israel and U.S.A. International war mongers in this war as their chances of inducing a regime change are slim & equal to ZERO. It is in Israel’s best interest to finish the war in Gaza with a regime change than embark on another war with Iran that has virtually zero chance of success in a Regime change.

- Viktor, title: Magnus NUCLEUS for Purity of Thought!

         For all Global Leaders & Novel or Nobel Laureates to come out of the shadow of Magnus NUCLEUS and accomplish self-actualization; they, need to write every week or month a Socio-economic PONTIFICATE that BEST Reflects & Describes most accurately the State of GLOBAL AFFAIRS.

Regards,

      Viktor HADJIEV, the MAGNIFICENT - Pope of Socio-economic Functioning,

      OWNER of Magnus DISCIPULUS - the only religion for Socio-economic growth &

      a Global INTELLECTUAL Standard for 'Purity of THOUGHT'

       -----------------------

Viktor Stoyanov Hadjiev, Title: 'MAGNUS NUCLEUS' for Higher Intellectual PLANES;   Superior Meta-Cognitive Inventions & Electromagnetic Frequency FIELDS or Signals; Outstanding Management Programs & Legal Frameworks!

Founder/Owner/CEO of DNA Management Companies *^°

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Viktor Hadjiev has become the Pope of Socio-economic Functioning integrating Thought, Technology & Superior Knowledge into MAGNIFICANCE; thus, his titles Magnus NUCLEUS & Magnus DISCIPULUS mean & indicate one thing that people often refer to these Titles as MAGNIFICENCE or PURITY OF THOUGHT (TOP)

This synthesis of a masterpiece and all attached materials are property of Viktor St. Hadjiev, Management Centre "Open Mind" Ltd. They bear informative purpose and cannot be used for educational purposes without a license and a teaching permit issued by Management Centre Open Mind and published on www.dnamanagement.org.